Forum Topic

That 'traffic' in London is on a reducing trend that would make a flyunder or flyover unnecessary in Hammersmith within 15 years is a new one on me. I've heard of no research that has suggested this is a possibility.It may be possible that the short term impact of the ULEZ discouraging a significant number of non-compliant vehicles from entering London may have been extropolated to create this hypothesis. Also I suspect that, once again 'traffic' is being confused with the number of vehicle journeys. Data that we do have shows that while the number of vehicle journeys is not rising, delays have risen over the last few years in London and average traffic speeds are down, including for buses.Why this is happening is a complex question but larger vehicles (both due to the switch from personal travel to delivery and a market preference for bigger cars) combined with active travel measures (improved pedestrian priority and cycleways) appear to be more than eradicating any benefit from any reduction in journey numbers.That the conclusion that falling trends will save us from the need to invest large amounts in road infrastructure in west London is wishful thinking is most strongly shown by H&F's refusal to consider it a a possibility. Like all boroughs they face massive financial challenges. They have consistently been one of the most pro-active travel local authorities in the country and, as well as Cycleway 9 are planning even further investment in cycling infrastructure as well as implementing programmes such as the Clean Air Zone around Wandsworth Bridge Road.You have to ask yourself if not spending huge sums on a flyover or a flyunder was really an option why it has not been considered. The logical answer is that the transport team at H&F Council considered the possibility of sufficient traffic reduction over the next few decades and decided it was fanciful. This view seems to be reinforced by the lack of any credible projections supporting the other view.That brings us back to the two remaining options. There is no pretending that both will come with no pain, both financial and environmental, but H&F Council deserve praise for thinking strategically about the problem at an early stage.

Francis Rowe ● 6d

Just because some other cities have successfully removed flyovers and similar road blights doesn't mean this is an option open to London.The example of the Cheonggye Elevated Highway Seoul is one that was given. This is a road that I have travelled along and the world is a better place without it. However, the context here is that it was constructed in a city devasted by war which had previously been made largely of wood. The chaebol - the industrial conglomerates rebuilding the country had steel construction and motor manufacturing interests so it seemed to them a given that such structures were constructed. Cities like Seoul which have done away with major road infrastructure like this have also introduced a lot of measures to mitigate the impact - big investment in public transport, more restrictions on parking, more expensive parking, emissions charges, congestion charges. London has already implemented these policies and it is questionable whether there it would be possible to do more without unacceptable economic harm.If knocking down the flyover and not replacing it with a flyunder was really an option it would have to be the case that most of the traffic using the flyover was discretionary i.e. private motor car owners making a journey which could be made by other means for similar cost and journey time.As I've mentioned, my own journeys on the flyover have resulted in observations that most of the traffic on there is not made up by private motor cars. Michael may not believe what people can see with their own eyes counts as evidence but I think most people who drive over the flyover will conclude that the bulk of traffic on the road is not going to disappear if it was removed. I can't see any other outcome of the replacement ground level roads being chronically congested and polluted, essentially making much of this part of Hammersmith like the gyratory is now.If Hammersmith & Fulham are serious about this, they would have already done some work on each of the three options. No flyover and no flyunder would be by far the cheapest one but the fact that they haven't even bothered to mention it suggests it was ruled out at a very early stage as totally impractical.

Francis Rowe ● 14d

More than a third of the traffic approaching the flyover on the A4 enters or exits onto the gyratory rather than going straight through on the flyover. That traffic still needs to access the gyratory with a flyunder. The 2014 study makes clear that building a longer flyunder, from Hogarth to Barons Court, would divert even more vehicles, at least 50% of current A4 traffic, to surface streets, defeating the purpose of a flyunder.In 2006 the average daily traffic on the gyratory was 96k, compared to 92k on the flyover, making 189k in total. By 2024, that total had fallen to 131k, 60k on he gyratory and 71k on the flyover. On current trends the total will drop to 94k in 2034, below just the gyratory traffic levels in 2006. Hence in less than ten years from now, it would be possible to dismantle the flyover, routing the proportion that used the flyover round the gyratory, and still have traffic levels on the gyratory below those seen in 2006.You don't need to presume no more traffic through Hammersmith to close the flyover. You just need to look at the DfT counts to see that traffic is steadily falling and that quite soon in the future, and some time before the end of the flyover's current lifetime, the case for any replacement be increasingly difficult to make.Certainly, that case won't rely on demand for deliveries. We've already seen from the DfT counts that an increasing proportion of vans is associated with less overall traffic, with more demand for deliveries driving traffic down, not up.  As for "wealthy types", if they want to get into town quickly, it's already much faster for them to take Heathrow Express, or the Elizabeth line. I'm not sure why residents of Hammersmith need to continue to suffer a flyover, or pay for a white-elephant flyunder, to indulge a desire to travel more slowly by car.

Tom Pike ● 18d

"Do you seriously think the traffic on the flyover is locally generated?"More than half of it is according to LBHF's 2014 study into the flyunder. This looked at three possible tunnelling options. The first was a short tunnel that directly replaced the flyover, but which had very little public support (7%, less than the 10% who wanted to keep the current flyover). The other two options were much longer tunnels that started west of Hogarth roundabout and ended at either North End Road or closer to Warwick Road."As the A4 passes through Hounslow, Hammersmith & Fulham and Kensington and Chelsea it has junctions with a number of side roads. Vehicles both join and leave the A4 to continue their journeys. Over the length of option 3 (Sutton Court Road to Earl’s Court) more than half of the traffic travelling east leaves the A4. A similar profile is found travelling westbound with traffic doubling in volume over the same stretch."This is a fundamental finding as traffic that joins the A4 between the start and end points of a tunnel between Chiswick and Earl’s Court will have to use a surface network. Should the flyover be removed, it would be diverted around the Hammersmith Gyratory."The short tunnel is determined to have no impact on traffic flow as it is a straight replacement of the flyover with a tunnel. All traffic that currently uses the flyover could use the tunnel and traffic leaving or joining the A4 via Hammersmith Gyratory would do so as it does currently. Traffic flow around the gyratory would be unaffected."Both longer tunnels would require a surface road network to cater for up to 50 per cent of the current A4 flow. Option 2 would allow slightly more traffic to join and leave a long tunnel alignment, and hence a slightly higher percentage of traffic would use the tunnel than would be the case for the longer option 3. This could allow for a narrowing of the A4. However, if the flyover were to be removed (this being the primary objective of this study), this traffic would be diverted through the Hammersmith Gyratory. Any capacity increases that can be achieved at the Hammersmith Gyratory, even if possible, would not be consistent with the vision for the improved town centre."https://www.lbhf.gov.uk/sites/default/files/section_attachments/flyunder_feasibility_study_web_medium_tcm21-187089.pdf

Tom Pike ● 18d

Even in the US, the home of car centred city design, there are lots of examples of freeway removal projects plus cities in other countries as well.Of course this is beyond the comprehension of the carbrained.Bonaventure Expressway Montreal, Canada 2016 Elevated highway demolished and replaced with an urban boulevard and parklandCatharijnebaan Utrecht, Netherlands 2010 Highway demolished and replaced with canal and green spaceCentral Freeway and Embarcadero Freeway San Francisco, United States 1993 Replaced by at-grade boulevards following 1989 Loma Prieta earthquakeCheonggye Elevated Highway Seoul, South Korea 2003 Replaced with artificial stream and green spaceCogswell Interchange (Harbour Drive) Halifax, Canada 2021 Freeway-to-boulevard conversionGardiner Expressway Toronto, Canada 2001 Partial demolition; exit ramps replaced with parklandHarbor DrivePortland, United States 1974 Demolished and replaced with Tom McCall Waterfront ParkInnerbelt Akron, United States 2017 Highway closed and redeveloped into parkland and urban developmentInner Loop Rochester, United States 2014 Replaced with surface streets and urban developmentNY 895 (Sheridan Expressway)New York City, United States 2017 Freeway-to-boulevard conversionOak Street Connector New Haven, United States 2013 Highway demolished and replaced with surface streets and urban developmentOklahoma City Crosstown Expressway Oklahoma City, United States 2002 Partial highway-to-boulevard conversionPark East Freeway Milwaukee, United States 2002 Demolished and repurposed into urban developmentNiagara Scenic Parkway Niagara Falls, United States 2019 Highway removed and replaced with surface streets and waterfront parklandSoutheast Freeway Washington, D.C., United States 2016 Partial freeway-to-boulevard conversionVoie Georges-Pompidou Paris, France 2016 Highway removed and replaced with public beaches and urban developmentWest Sacramento Freeway Sacramento, United States 2014 Highway removed and replaced with surface streets and urban developmentWest Side Elevated Highway New York City, United States 1977 Elevated highway demolished and replaced with urban boulevardZhongxiao Elevated Highway Taipei, Taiwan 2016 Elevated highway repurposed from roadway into elevated park. Section next to the North Gate demolished to give an unimpeded view of the gate.Riverfront Parkway (Chattanooga) Chattanooga, United States 2004 Freeway-to-boulevard conversionCypress Street Viaduct Oakland, United States 2005 Freeway-to-boulevard conversionPerimetral Highway Rio De Janeiro, Brazil 2015 Freeway transformed into public space

Michael Robinson ● 20d

Has Cllr Cowan actually ever explicitly stated that the full cost of the tunnel would be covered by realised land value? All the previous statement that I could find from him and his council seem to suggest that it would only part fund it and central government and TfL cash would be needed. Obviously a project which is likely to cost £2billion is not going to be covered by land sales but if you take the increase in qualatitive value of the surrounding area plus the NPV of annual maintenance cost for the flyover you could argue that it is self funding in the broader sense.On the early question of evidence for a the majority of traffic over the flyover being non-discretionary, I know you don't like observational evidence but you will just have to take it from those of us who sometimes drive over it, that the largest proportion of the traffic is taken up by vans, lorries, visibly commercial use cars and Ubers. Even if you make the very dubious assumption that every private car is not being driven for private use, you will still struggle to make a case that the majority of people driving over the flyover are there by choice.On the relationship between population and vehicle growth, I was referring to the fallacy that suppressing private vehicle ownership means that you can avoid a growth in vehicle movements as population density increases, all other things remaining equal. Other factors may come into play, for instance ULEZ, to mean they are not directly linked and longer term London's population growth has not been matched by  vehicle movement growth. However, looking ahead, the increasing dependence of Londoners on next day delivery looks set to push the level of traffic ever higher. When asked to explain the increased level of traffic delays across Chiswick in 2024, Hounslow Council issued a statement blaming it not on the cycleway but population growth. Were they wrong?Those opposing both the flyunder and a new flyover have to explain what exactly they are proposing as a third option. Even if you were to some how magically halve the amount of traffic on a route that has been busy since Roman times, it is impossible to envisage how a ground based road network would comfortably handle volumes and not cause significant displacement. It seems to me that there is an element of shooting down proposals that are both challenging and ambitious while advocating for an alternative that is just pure fantasy.

Francis Rowe ● 21d