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It's because the proposed technology to replace them - heat pumps/hydrogen cells are:1. Not reliable;2. Phenomenally expensive;3. Much larger;4. Requiring large scale (& hugely expensive) alterations to a lot of domestic properties, a good proportion of which are not suitable for adaptation to Heat Pump/hydrogen;5. Not produced in anywhere near large enough numbers to replace all the boilers fitted domestically and commerciallyThe ban on new boiler sales is due in 2025, I think, by which time, it is hoped that the outrageous price of heat pumps will have dropped to be within the scope of the average household & that a method of adapting residential properties will have been found that isn't bankrupting.It's the single biggest financial challenge facing local authorities in the short to medium term. So many have declared a climate emergency and committed to Net Zero in unfeasibly short timeframes based upon unproven technology (much like pretty much the entire Government green strategy) that is currently hugely pricey and massively beyond the scope of what ca be delivered through current funding mechanisms. At current estimated costs, the average London Council needs a bare minimum of £1bn to retrofit its housing stock, which climbs steeply for larger boroughs holding more housing stock.This is before you factor in privately owned properties as well. All told the bill is reckoned to be around £200bn for retrofit at current costs.In a nutshell, like a lot of green measures that are suggested, it's financially out of reach at the moment. This isn't to say that costs won't drop and new sources of funding won't be found, both of those things are likely to happen, but at the moment, boilers are staying because we can't afford to replace them all.

Mark Warburton ● 1886d

Unfortunately, there is a lot of misinformation about heat pumps, no doubt promoted by lobby groups, and not helped by Energy Secretary Kwasi Kwarteng recently saying (or "admitting" if you read the Mail or Telegraph) that they are not as effective as gas boilers.I suggested the following Fully Charged interviews for a better informed view. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=a63HkWetENkhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-r6L9HPJfnEHeat pumps are inherently substantially more efficient than gas, and are not new technology (the technology is basically refrigeration technology, well over a hundred years old, and is extremely reliable – when did your fridge ever go wrong?)Gas costs about 4p per effective kw.  Electricity costs between 4p (night rate) and 15p - 20p (day rate) - so, say an average of 12p.  A modern gas boiler is theoretically 90% efficient, but in practice more like 80%.  So, gas heating effectively costs 5p per kw heat.  Heating a home with a bar heater is 100% effective (so 1 kw electricity = 1 kw heat).  So, simply using electricity to heat a home and for hot water would be about two and a half times as expensive as gas.But, a relatively inefficient heat pump will generate 3 kw of heat for every 1kw of electricity (the "COP").  This reduces the effective cost of power to around the same cost per kw heat as for gas.  But an efficient heat pump will work at COP of 5 or more, i.e. 5kw of heat for every 1 kw of electricity.  This reduces the cost of power to the same, or lower than the cost of gas (in practice – generally to around the same or slightly lower).  It does this by using the electricity to extract the heat from the air, ground or water, then "upgrade" the heat by compressions the volume. (Imagine a basketball full of heat, compressed down to the size of tennis ball - the same amount of energy (heat), but in a smaller area will be much hotter).So the cost of heating with a heat pump falls to or below the cost of heating with gas (and saves the planet).So where to heat pumps go wrong?1  They are more expensive.  E.g. our system cost £40k, compared with gas system that would have cost say £15k.  The RHI grant pays us back £27k over 7 years. Which is fantastic. If you have £40k to spend up front (which many people do not).  £15k - £20k, with perhaps £10k - £15k grant is probably realistic for an average sized house.2    A heat pump is very efficient when upgrading heat from say 8 degrees (ambient ground or air on a cold day) to say 40 degrees, but becomes less efficient the greater the upgrade.  So they work best of all in a well-insulated house with a large heating area (such as underfloor heating) which can be heated with heat at say 40 degrees to 50 degrees C, but become less efficient if they have to upgrade the heat to say "delta 60" (an uplift of 60 degrees), and the COP (i.e. multiple of energy output to energy input - so efficiency) will reduce.  This is why you need larger radiators – to give of the same amount of total heat, but at a lower temperature so requiring a larger area.3  In the early stages, many heat pumps were badly specified and installed, either by central heating engineers who did not understand the different way heat pumps work , or by people jumping on the government grants’ band wagon. This gave the technology a bad name.4  A typical example of this is installing a heat pump that is too high capacity, so it switches on and off all the time (very energy inefficient).  Smaller is often better. Heat pumps do work.  We have one, and know many people who also do, all of whom are happy with them.It is a different style of heating a house.  A gas boiler can pump out a lot of high level heat (i.e. hot) very quickly (but very inefficiently), whereas heat pumps work best running continuously in the background.At the end of the day, any house will take the same amount of heat to heat.  The question is how efficiently that heat can be generated.A good analogy is driving in a car from London to Edinburgh.  I can accelerate quickly to a very high speed (e.g. like a gas boiler blast heat at a high level into the house) brake sharply and sit and wait (e.g. then turn the boiler off until the next blast), stop start all the way to Edinburgh.  Or I can gradually build up to a slower cruising speed (so the house will take longer to warm up) but  then maintain that gentle, constant speed all the way (e.g. keeping the house warm).  Either way, I get to Edinburgh at the same time. It is just that I will use far less energy using the "slow and steady" method.

T P Howell ● 1886d

Hydrogen is great, but only if it is "green".  Unfortunately, most hydrogen is generated by "splitting" natural gas, which releases CO2, so no better for the environment than burning the gas.  A bit like running an electric car on electricity generated by coal. It just transfers the problem upstream.Having said that, if "green" hydrogen becomes viable (which requires a lot of electricity- so can effectively be a way of storing surplus energy), and boilers are converted (a cost in itself - but probably in the hundreds rather than thousands of pounds) this may be a good solution.  Already under trial in Gateshead with 100% hydrogen piped through the gas mains.  There are already boilers on the market that can run with either gas or hydrogen.And hydrogen will probably be the way forward for heavy transport (including shipping, one of the biggest polluters of all).So I think there is a place for both technologies - not an either or situation.Either way, we are going to need a massive investment to meet the Paris targets - which we must.  And I think this has to be centrally funded - we cannot rely just on the affulent and / or very motivated to drive this (all the harder since as the gas suppliers are privatised, so working only for a profit motive and not in the interests of the country / consumers generally, and harder to coordinate). I disagree that the grid is unable to cope with demand. It has adequate capacity.  And electric cars are likely to be part of the solution for capacity, smoothing out demand (if charged overnight), and even by feeding back electricity “car to grid” (i.e. charging up when there is cheap, clean, surplus electricity, and feeding back into the grid).  The biggest problem with managing the electricity supply is coping with peak demand.  If this could be “flattened” (e.g. through storage in car batteries, available to feed back into the grid at peak demand), this problem would be a long way to being solved.

T P Howell ● 1886d

The problem with the government borrowing to fund this particular infrastructure is many levelled, but the most immediate one is that, it's borrowing past the eyeballs already as a means of coping with Covid. That debt has to be paid down as it's unsustainable in anything other than the short term.I don't want to sound eco-sceptic, because I fully appreciate that positive action needs to be taken, but borrowing unsustainable amounts of money to solve 1.1% of the problem just isn't the answer.EV charging is going to be a major drain - the old c5.5kW charging tech is being superceded, as it's obsolete & if the government are ever going to get people out of ICE vehicles, there has to be a network of ultra-fast charging, otherwise portions of the economy will grind to a halt. Also, I assume sticking 31.7 million or so vehicles onto charge overnight will place quite a strain on the grid! Battery capacities are also increasing, which increase grid drain - to use an example I was in debate about last week, if you can't travel from London to Manchester without having to stop and charge, EV's are not an attractive option.Interestingly LGV & HGV's only make up 12.2% of that number, so whilst I would assume you're correct that electric trucks aren't the way forward, private and other vehicles make up the majority of EV charging need.A good, if slightly throwaway point was made earlier re: EV's (& electrifying everything) - the environmental cost of mining and refining the raw materials required is going to be steep & I really don't know how the environmental ledger gets squared on that one.

Mark Warburton ● 1885d