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Talk of prosecuting the organisers is crossing the line into ridiculous territory. They had all the necessary permits, they were literally holding the event outside a police station, police officers and council enforcement officers were on hand and got full cooperation, the Mayor and a local MP attended and the leader of the council sent them a congratulatory message.The chances of a criminal prosecution are therefore zero. It is also difficult to see how a civil prosecution could be pursued. I was on the High Road and steered clear, mainly because I didn't see the point of queueing when I could walk straight into Wheelers any other day of the week. Close to 20,000 people got an email half an hour before the event started which gave due notice that it might be busy so nobody was taken by surprise.It is unfortunate however that the event took place just as data was emerging of a cluster of infections in Chiswick. Based on the infection rate for the previous week it was statistically likely that 3 or 4 people who went to the flower market had Covid-19. If there is an acceleration of infections over the next two weeks - which would put Chiswick into lockdown risk territory - the market will inevitably be blamed despite the fact there doesn't seem to be any recent evidence that large attendance open air events are a significant source of spread of the virus.Hopefully, there will be no increase and we can all focus on the huge positives that have come out of the flower market. It has provided a massive boost for the High Road and Chiswick in general much needed at a time when retailers are prevailed upon from all sides and cursed with a council that seems to see them as a problem rather than an asset.This has all been done by people who have not been paid, have a genuine desire to help the community and a passion for the Chiswick area. They should be applauded to the rafters rather than being fitted for orange jump suits.

Paul Corcoran ● 2244d

Extrapolating the 20+ infections seen in Chiswick last week the W4 area would be more than double the level at which the government is currently quarantining other countries and close to the level at which the government could put an area of the UK on a watch list for possible lockdown.These figures were probably released on the Friday evening before the market. It is very interesting that they were not mentioned in the Council Leader, Steve Curran's weekly Covid bulleting which is issued after the numbers come out. He had previously specifically highlighted Chiswick as an at risk area when there were just three cases. Why there was no mention probably only he will ever know the full reason but if the bulletin had highlighted the spike the question as to whether the market should proceed would have become a live one. Steve Curran has been very supportive of the market which, though not necessarily consistent with his previous hard line on Covid-19 restrictions as applied to Chiswick traders, has to be seen as a good thing.There is no reason to believe that the organisers knew about these numbers as I would imagine they were working flat out to get things ready for the market and as Chiswick's infection rate had been very low in previous weeks they had no cause for concern. The first thing they would have known about the spike would have been the item in the Chiswick newsletter.I don't think there is any point having an inquest into who knew what when but there is a possibility that public health was compromised to ensure the market went ahead. If this was a commercial event then it might be a different matter but personally I think it was right to press ahead given the balance of risks. The last minute cancellation of the market would have been truly disastrous all round.Next month with lessons learned, poorer weather, no novelty value the numbers as the market might reduce to a more manageable level and we should all be looking forward to it. By then we will have data which will show if the market did give rise to a significant number of new cases and we will know if the current large rise in infections in W4 has been sustained.

Francis Rowe ● 2244d

The problem is Adrian that a rational and respectful debate involving contrasting points of view is impossible when, no matter what the issue is, Steve is a contributor, because as far as Steve is concerned whatever he thinks has to be the correct one.I've never met the guy (probably fortunately for both of us) but as I've openly said previously (and acknowledging that on some issues I share his opinion) I have zero time for individuals, both in person or online, who have an over-inflated sense of the importance of their opinion to the extent that it is a matter of undeniable fact.  And I can never work out if he's actually on a wind-up because he describes others as being "superior", "self-righteous" or "arrogant" yet to me he couldn't be further up his own backside if he tried.Moving on to trying to have a rational debate, if we look at this on a global scale, there's been a host of different approaches taken by different countries.  The largely common trend at the moment within most European countries is that they experienced a decline in new cases from May onwards, but since mid-July onwards have experienced a steady but significant growth in cases.  At the same time, the number of deaths partly or fully attributed to covid has, in the main, increased, and indeed in some countries continues to decline and remains, as it has done so for the last 2 months, at negligible levels.Sweden for example didn't have a lockdown and has been relatively light on preventative measures and yet, at the present time, isn't experiencing a surge/increase in new cases and has a death rate of less than 5 since 25th July.  If new cases are increasing considerably (as they are) but no such trend is reflected in death rates and the death rates in most European countries remain negligible (as they currently are) then one has to ask themselves why, and furthermore those trends should make it harder to balance the benefits of tightening restrictions against the importance of returning to some kind of normality.There is no right or wrong answer, there is no perfect solution.  The previous lockdown in the UK hasn't prevented the recent increase in cases, and that trend has occurred in most places regardless of what initial steps they took.  Sweden took alot of flat and acknowledges that it didn't do enough to protect its elderly, yet currently it's in a very good place and it's economy isn't anything like as damaged as ours.Stewart tells us that he took one look at the Flower Market and went to the West End instead.  Now this isn't intended as a criticism, but by doing so he's travelled some distance during which time he's bound to have encountered people, and for all he knew he might have suddenly found himself, either during the journey there or when he arrived, surrounded by people.Many people don't have the 'luxury' that Steve apparently has.  Not everyone can work from home and not everyone can get access to their personal or professional needs from home.  Steve presents himself as some kind of paragon of virtue who is staying in Taylor Towers, and will remain there, for however long it takes.And, talk all he want about selfishness and arrogance, there's many people who come to different conclusions when balancing the personal risk of becoming infected or spreading the virus against the economic impacts and the impacts upon society as a whole if we all just lock our front doors and don't come out until the powers that be tell us we can.  Arguably, to me, those people are no more selfish or arrogant than people like Steve who are only looking after no. 1.Was the flower market essential ? - of course not.  But the same goes for virtually everything else, I'm sure each and every one of us (yes, even Steve) has done something in the last 6 months that wasn't essential or necessary, but we did it because we wanted to.On the one hand the flower market might have been a hotbed for a rise in infections, both in terms of being at the market itself and more people within the surrounding area.  Equally, that same event might have brought considerable economic benefits, not just in terms of the market itself but people spending money within Chiswick itself.So, to take either extreme, the event might, hypothetically, have led to 100 new infections which might in turn lead to someone dying of covid, and equally might have helped brought much needed income for local businesses which allows them to stay afloat.That's the balancing act.  People like Steve want everything to effectively shut down for an indeterminate amount of time.  At the other extreme people want everything to be how it was pre-covid.  Both extremes are essentially driven by selfishness.Were it not for the fact that there are too many idiots out there who don't have any respect for other people and won't take precautions, I'd be all for completely removing all restrictions and seeing how things played out.  And I can genuinely say that isn't because it's best for me, I can sit here and WFH for as long as it takes, get stuff delivered and so forth, but its because I don't personally believe that if we did return to a pre-covid scenario there would be a surge in deaths etc.  Obviously people will say "yes great Adam but you're playing with my life and the lives of my friends and family" and they'd be quite right, but to date I do not see anything factual or statistical that shows the UK strategy to date has been successful or effective, or indeed the current reintroduction of measures is necessary.Sorry for the long post but as you wanted a debate !.

Adam Beamish ● 2242d

OK Adam,  Nobody taken a bite so I'll have a nibble.I think you're basically right.  But the issues are far simpler than you suggest.  Sure, these are contentious issues.  Most have very different opinions.My response to Sunday's flower market was partially similar to Stewart J's.  We paraded down there about twelvish, took one look at the crowds and the queue and decided not to go in.  A bit too much like putting one's head in a lion's mouth.  I'm not yet quite that daft.That said, I loved what I saw.  I loved all the happiness and all the business being done.  So we assayed up the car-free Devonshire Road and it was fabulous.  The cafe's heaving with diners.  The young and the middle-aged doing what the young and the middle-aged do.  Enjoying themselves.Us oldies have choices.  We can hide and survive.  Or we can play and take the risk.  And suffer the consequences if it goes tits up for us.I prefer to play low risk.But I'm also quite happy to see others getting out there, spending money and living life.If they don't do that, shops and bars won't just close – they'll shut forever.  Businesses will collapse on a grand scale.  It'll be like the 1920's depression times ten.  The prospect for any successful future life for the younger generation and the younger middle-aged generations will shrink to nothingness.AlternativelySTAY AT HOME...That's the choice.  And nobody making their own choice deserves to be labelled a moron.Or a retard...Just sayin'

Stuart Kerr ● 2242d