Forum Topic

Unfortunately I think that the idea that we are about to enter a golden age of cycling is not true. That it was the Prime Minister saying it should have been a red flag.What needs to be considered first of all is how public transport is going to operate in the future. Obviously we can't adopt ASLEF's call for ten passengers per tube carriage but our buses tubes and trains are going to need to be able to offer some measure of social distancing. There is no way that you can do this without a massive reduction in capacity.How you achieve this is difficult to say but it will have to be done by either pricing or rationing i.e. either raise fares to the point where there are so few people on it that social distancing is an issue or only give travel passes to people who meet a certain set of criteria.This will mean that millions of people won't be able to afford or won't be allowed to use public transport and will have to look at other options.The most sustainable alternative is for them to not to travel to work at all and this should be priority for government. They urgently have to introduce tax incentives so that people wishing to set up a home office or garden office can do so without having to pay for it out of income that has already been taxed. Ongoing home office expenses for PAYE workers should also be tax deductible.However, most jobs are not suitable for home office working and so a significant amount of people will still need to commute almost definitely more than the capacity of public transport.As many as possible should be encouraged to cycle but for the vast majority of commutes this is likely to be impractical and for those who could do, a significant proportion simply won't.This means that inevitably there will be a massive increase in the proportion of people using a car to get to work. The current quiet roads will not last and as soon as lockdown starts to ease we may find that traffic is worse than it ever was before.In this new environment, it simply won't be a policy option any more to give road space to cycling if there is a possibility it will restrict traffic flows. Even if there were money for significant cycling infrastructure projects, which there quite clearly won't be, what can be done will be severely limited by the greater policy priority to keep traffic including buses moving as freely as possible.If there is a golden age for cycling it is right now but sadly I don't think it will last for very long. Make the most of it (subject to government guidelines).

Paul Corcoran ● 2372d