Richard, we are talking at cross purposes. You are talking about the daily increasing trend, which still continues, but I am talking about the rate of increase. This is definitely going down. If it had continued at the rate seen up until about 10 days ago, we'd probably be at about 12,000 new cases per day by now. I'm a cynic, and I assume that this government is trying to pull the wool over our eyes most of the time, but I don't think their observations on the trend are misleading. The lockdown definitely seems to have halted the exponential growth of infection, which will help to reduce the pressure on the NHS. I suspect we're not far off a plateau, after which we can hope to see the sort of decline in daily new cases now apparent in Spain and Italy.
Robert Fish ● 2390d